Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 367.063431 417.519428 473.969195 542.100455 622.491255 714.804190 829.511483
2025-07-20 302.119161 370.403860 454.188533 565.816466 712.556037 901.590383 1168.032410
2025-07-27 260.081865 334.343874 431.019972 568.508403 763.028114 1034.717155 1454.593971
2025-08-03 224.446961 298.980583 400.463233 552.258302 779.866896 1119.286403 1685.701616
2025-08-10 198.743667 272.693532 377.243720 540.503995 797.967001 1204.838876 1932.876374
2025-08-17 185.974639 262.546513 374.828529 557.748431 861.145938 1369.837937 2348.922892
2025-08-24 171.042101 247.221641 362.375925 556.802701 893.538806 1488.050643 2709.346309
2025-08-31 156.714658 231.144088 346.647351 547.854047 909.943022 1579.635429 3040.305936
2025-09-07 146.848853 220.912673 338.849092 550.760803 947.071007 1715.633639 3499.798851
2025-09-14 135.462688 207.132306 323.721777 538.721560 954.127689 1793.214734 3850.517941
2025-09-21 127.122435 197.550406 314.588578 536.126914 978.593023 1910.664132 4330.979531
2025-09-28 116.270962 182.884665 295.368557 512.531933 957.372612 1925.335096 4554.835169
2025-10-05 113.080444 181.107528 298.767051 532.810858 1031.133723 2171.347659 5497.563498
2025-10-12 110.563957 180.278686 303.776984 556.941933 1117.674342 2469.338469 6722.751849
2025-10-19 105.346277 174.204584 298.509793 559.508661 1156.257925 2657.377045 7690.302244
2025-10-26 98.295525 164.286009 285.135241 543.575081 1149.158344 2724.126611 8278.335623
2025-11-02 92.416262 156.097289 274.390387 532.043745 1150.898824 2815.942474 9003.313968
2025-11-09 90.261197 154.650210 276.597111 548.960073 1225.893626 3135.858947 10785.113320
2025-11-16 86.330876 149.560672 271.127906 548.032392 1255.110971 3327.628591 12153.441221
2025-11-23 81.909906 143.233756 262.650269 539.254232 1262.174262 3452.535699 13301.927042
2025-11-30 78.960424 139.560606 259.309062 542.105672 1301.489273 3693.955111 15179.241874
2025-12-07 74.857647 133.363930 250.242735 530.295137 1297.830479 3789.122942 16372.989209
2025-12-14 71.873900 129.211159 245.189813 527.749640 1320.658128 3985.442938 18285.141377